Healthy tropical wave moves through Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center has started watching a healthy looking wave moving across the tropical Atlantic. As of Friday morning, the wave was located just about midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles. This is what is known as the Main Development Region or MDR and is one of the typical locations we look for developing tropical systems in the months of August and September.
As of now, the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 20% chance of development through Wednesday morning. Over the next few days, a decrease in wind shear and rather warm ocean temperatures should allow for gradual development of this wave.
By Wednesday, an increase in wind shear will begin across portions of the Lesser Antilles and should begin to hinder any further development of the wave. The short window of development means this wave, should it develop, has the potential to be short lived.
Regardless of development, gusty winds and an increase in showers and storm chances are likely for a portion of the Caribbean late next week. At this time, this system poses no threats to our region.