11am 10-7-17: Nate is a Category 1 hurricane, on track to make landfall by Sunday morning
As of this morning, Nate is a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph maximum sustained wind. Rapid intensification is not expected due to the storm moving so quickly, but the National Hurricane Center is now expecting the storm to make landfall as a Category 2 hurricane.
Residents from coastal Louisiana to the panhandle of Florida are preparing as this storm will make landfall late tonight or early Sunday morning. Landfall is expected to occur somewhere between New Orleans and Pensacola. Where the center makes landfall, storm surge inundation could reach as high as 10 feet and still very high out from the center. Keep in mind: many of these areas are either at- or below- sea level. Hurricane force wind (over 74 mph) will extend approximately 30 miles from the center with tropical storm force wind (over 39 mph) extending approximately 100 miles.
Our rainfall isn't necessarily caused by Nate but the storm is a contributing factor. Due to rotation around Nate and rotation around high pressure in the Atlantic, deep southeasterly and southerly wind-flow will develop this weekend bringing plenty of tropical moisture into the Carolinas. This increases our rain chances, cloud cover, and humidity.
Elsewhere in the tropics, we are watching an area in the north-eastern Atlantic with a high chance of development over the next 5 days. The good news? This is no threat to the United States.