The latest numbers from Shopper-Track predicts sales in November and December will only rise 2.4%, the smallest increase since 2009.
The National Retailer Federation also says 3 out of 10 people are also blaming the political fighting on Capitol Hill for cutting into their seasonal festivities.
Debbie Stephens, owner of BodeGa in Conway, said holiday sales in her store have been pretty low the past few years, and she's not expecting this year to be any better.
"It's been really, really tough. It's been tough on everybody in Conway. Not just myself, but all the retailers down here," Stephens said.
Her holiday sale push officially begins shortly after Halloween.
"What's coming up now will be another iffy for all of us because we don't know if this looming shutdown in January is going to affect us," Stephens said.
She said this year, she's stocking up on necessities since that's what's been selling lately.
"People are giving up those cutesy unnecessary things. They're going for the things they need and have to have. Like I have to replace my coffee maker, I need to replace my toaster. I need to replace my potato peeler. You know, they're looking to give gifts that are going to be useful," Stephens said.
Stephens said her holiday plan this year is to just keep shopper's spirits bright.
"Our plans are to just try our best to have a lot of Christmas spirit. To have events here in the store, have people coming in to hear Christmas music and have some warm apple cider, and to look and we're going to offer gifts with purchase," Stephens said.
The National Retailer Federation says the average consumer will spend a total of $737.95 on gifts, decor and greeting cards this holiday season.